Premier League · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap

West Ham

WDDLW

1–1Full-time recap

Manchester City

WWWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham	Manchester City
Shots	1 shots/match	24 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.54 xG/match	1.87 xG/match▲
Possession	29%	71%
Corners	1 corners/match	15 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	5 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Manchester City's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

West Ham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Ham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham · Manchester City14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham	Manchester City	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	15.1 shots/match	9.77 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Manchester City's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.4 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%▲PossessionWest Ham · Manchester City59.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham	Manchester City	Baseline
Possession	42.2%	59.9%	50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham

0Draws

1Manchester City

20 Dec 2025Manchester City — West Ham · Premier League3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Manchester City in 9 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲2 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲0.93 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲14.8 shots/match

15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/30▲9.77 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲5.2 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲3.43 shots/match

42.2%Possessionseason · 30/3059.9%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/305.67 corners/match

6.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/30▲3.7 corners/match

1.86 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/291.86 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/309.93 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/30▲40%

70%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/30▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham7.5

Manchester City92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham24.2

Manchester City92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham7.5

Manchester City92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham47.5

Manchester City52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham60

Manchester City30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham55

Manchester City72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham43.1

Manchester City67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.4 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

39.4%Possession5/563.8%

5 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

10.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.9 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5 shots/match

40.4%Possession10/1062.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

2.22 cards/matchCards9/92.22 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲2 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲0.93 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

10.2 shots/matchShots30/30▲14.8 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲5.2 shots/match

42.2%Possession30/3059.9%

5 corners/matchCorners30/305.67 corners/match

1.86 cards/matchCards29/291.86 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls30/309.93 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.6 goals/match

1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.13 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

10.5 shots/matchShots15/15▲13.5 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲4.13 shots/match

41.7%Possession15/1560.1%

5.53 corners/matchCorners15/154.73 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/159.47 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4