Premier League · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEtihad StadiumFull-time recap

Manchester City

LWDWW

2–1Full-time recap

Newcastle

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester City	Newcastle
Shots	15 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match	7 shots/match
Possession	55%	45%
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Manchester City

0Draws

1Newcastle

22 Nov 2025Newcastle — Manchester City · Premier League2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester City favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Newcastle in 1 · 4 too close

2.07 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/271.41 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.44 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/2713.2 shots/match

9.96 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2711.4 shots/match

5.15 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/274.63 shots/match

3.56 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/274.15 shots/match

58.9%Possessionseason · 27/2753%

5.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/276.85 corners/match

3.85 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/275.07 corners/match

1.89 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲1.74 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/279.52 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

41%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2726%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2774%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester City92.5

Newcastle67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester City90.8

Newcastle66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester City92.5

Newcastle49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester City42.5

Newcastle57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester City45

Newcastle22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester City65

Newcastle97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester City70.6

Newcastle62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.2 shots/matchShots5/514.6 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

57.6%Possession5/550.6%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/58.6 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.4 shots/matchShots10/1015.1 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match

60.7%Possession10/1056.1%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/108.1 corners/match

2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/108.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches

2.07 goals/match▲Goals scored27/271.41 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.44 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.2 shots/match▲Shots27/2713.2 shots/match

5.15 shots/match▲Shots on target27/274.63 shots/match

58.9%Possession27/2753%

5.41 corners/matchCorners27/276.85 corners/match

1.89 cards/matchCards27/271.74 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls27/279.52 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141 goals/match

0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.36 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

15.7 shots/match▲Shots14/1412.1 shots/match

6.21 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.71 shots/match

59.1%Possession14/1454.1%

6.64 corners/matchCorners14/146.29 corners/match

1.57 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/148.43 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match