PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest HamBournemouth
Shots20 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession42%58%
Corners9 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

West Ham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham · Bournemouth13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest HamBournemouthBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham
1Draws
0Bournemouth
Bournemouth — West Ham · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 9 · 4 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/27▲1.59 goals/match
1.81 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/27▲1.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/27▲13.4 shots/match
14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/27▲13 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/27▲4.93 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/27▲4.7 shots/match
42.4%Possessionseason · 27/2749.4%
5.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/275.63 corners/match
6.15 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/27▲5.37 corners/match
1.78 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/272.37 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2712.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲26%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/27▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham7.5
Bournemouth47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham25.8
Bournemouth79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham9.2
Bournemouth20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham52.5
Bournemouth87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham52.5
Bournemouth87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham57.5
Bournemouth77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham42.5
Bournemouth82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
39.8%Possession5/548%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match
43.4%Possession10/1044.2%
5 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲1.59 goals/match
1.81 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲1.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots27/27▲13.4 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲4.93 shots/match
42.4%Possession27/2749.4%
5.15 corners/matchCorners27/275.63 corners/match
1.78 cards/matchCards27/272.37 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.64 goals/match
1.93 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142.21 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲12.9 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲5.21 shots/match
42.6%Possession14/1446.9%
5.86 corners/matchCorners14/145.79 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards14/142.71 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest HamBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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