PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedTottenham
Shots23 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession65%35%
Corners7 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Tottenham10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedTottenhamBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Manchester United
1Draws
0Tottenham
Tottenham — Manchester United · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham in 1 · 6 too close

1.84 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/251.4 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/251.4 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/2510.9 shots/match
11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2512.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/253.84 shots/match
3.64 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.16 shots/match
52.7%Possessionseason · 25/2550.9%
4.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/255.04 corners/match
4.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/254.92 corners/match
1.4 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.72 cards/match
9.56 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2511 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲28%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United67.5
Tottenham52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United94.2
Tottenham40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United67.5
Tottenham44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United97.5
Tottenham2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United10
Tottenham85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United27.5
Tottenham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United58.8
Tottenham50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.4 shots/match▲Shots5/514.8 shots/match
7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.6 shots/match
49.6%Possession5/551.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.5 shots/match
6.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.5 shots/match
50.6%Possession10/1047.5%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards10/103 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.84 goals/match▲Goals scored25/251.4 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.3 shots/match▲Shots25/2510.9 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target25/253.84 shots/match
52.7%Possession25/2550.9%
4.52 corners/matchCorners25/255.04 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards25/252.72 cards/match
9.56 fouls/matchFouls25/2511 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.54 goals/match
1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.4 shots/match▲Shots13/139.85 shots/match
6.46 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.69 shots/match
52.2%Possession13/1348.8%
4.54 corners/matchCorners13/134.54 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/132.23 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.83 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester UnitedTottenham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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