PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Tue, 10 Feb 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamNewcastle
Shots16 shots/match21 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession53%47%
Corners2 corners/match12 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham, Newcastle. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham, Newcastle.

3.29 days▲Rest daysTottenham · Newcastle3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTottenhamNewcastleBaseline
Rest days3.29 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Tottenham
1Draws
0Newcastle
Newcastle — Tottenham · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Newcastle in 4 · 9 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261.42 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.42 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲13.2 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲11.3 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲4.54 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/264.04 shots/match
51%Possessionseason · 26/2653.3%
4.92 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/266.92 corners/match
5.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/265.08 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲1.62 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/269.38 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2627%
81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2673%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham52.5
Newcastle72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham38.3
Newcastle65.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham41.7
Newcastle60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham12.5
Newcastle57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham87.5
Newcastle17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham52.5
Newcastle97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham50
Newcastle61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
50.4%Possession5/555%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/59 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.9 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match
47.6%Possession10/1056.3%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/108.2 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/108.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.42 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots26/26▲13.2 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲4.54 shots/match
51%Possession26/2653.3%
4.92 corners/matchCorners26/266.92 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards26/261.62 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls26/269.38 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/matchShots13/1312.1 shots/match
3.85 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.46 shots/match
53.1%Possession13/1354.8%
5.31 corners/matchCorners13/136.38 corners/match
3.23 cards/matchCards13/131.77 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/138.08 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Feb 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamNewcastle
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match