PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap

Arsenal

WDDLW
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricArsenalSunderland
Shots16 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession49%51%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sunderland show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match▲ShotsArsenal · Sunderland9.64 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalSunderlandBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match9.64 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against7.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.4%▲PossessionArsenal · Sunderland44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArsenalSunderlandBaseline
Possession57.4%44%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Arsenal
1Draws
0Sunderland
Sunderland — Arsenal · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sunderland in 0 · 4 too close

1.96 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/251.08 goals/match
0.68 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.16 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/259.64 shots/match
7.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2514.1 shots/match
5.04 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/253.28 shots/match
2.12 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.4 shots/match
57.4%Possessionseason · 25/2544%
6.12 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/253.4 corners/match
3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/254.72 corners/match
1.36 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.12 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2510 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
52%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2532%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2564%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal82.5
Sunderland22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal90.8
Sunderland17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal97.5
Sunderland35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal77.5
Sunderland17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal22.5
Sunderland52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal92.5
Sunderland2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal78.8
Sunderland16.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
52.6%Possession5/550.8%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.7 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
55.3%Possession10/1047%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.1 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.96 goals/match▲Goals scored25/251.08 goals/match
0.68 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.16 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shots25/259.64 shots/match
5.04 shots/match▲Shots on target25/253.28 shots/match
57.4%Possession25/2544%
6.12 corners/matchCorners25/253.4 corners/match
1.36 cards/matchCards25/252.12 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls25/2510 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.46 goals/match
0.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shots13/138.62 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target13/132.85 shots/match
58.2%Possession13/1344.4%
5.85 corners/matchCorners13/133.38 corners/match
0.92 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
9.92 fouls/matchFouls13/1310 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsArsenalSunderland
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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