Premier League · 2025Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeTurf MoorFull-time recap

Burnley

LDDDL

0–2Full-time recap

West Ham

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Burnley	West Ham
Shots	18 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	5 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

West Ham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.24 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Burnley

0Draws

1West Ham

8 Nov 2025West Ham — Burnley · Premier League3–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Burnley favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 6 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲1.24 goals/match

1.96 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/251.92 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

9.04 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/25▲10.3 shots/match

16.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/25▲15.1 shots/match

2.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲3.56 shots/match

5.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/25▲5.4 shots/match

41.6%Possessionseason · 25/2542.8%

3.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/255 corners/match

5.64 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/256.32 corners/match

1.84 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/251.84 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2511.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

12%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/258%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲68%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Burnley2.5

West Ham7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Burnley5

West Ham24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Burnley2.5

West Ham8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Burnley12.5

West Ham47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Burnley36.2

West Ham58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Burnley10

West Ham50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Burnley10.6

West Ham40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.2 shots/match

2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

42%Possession5/541.4%

2.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.2 shots/matchShots10/1010.5 shots/match

2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.4 shots/match

43.9%Possession10/1043.2%

3.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲1.24 goals/match

1.96 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.92 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.04 shots/matchShots25/25▲10.3 shots/match

2.92 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲3.56 shots/match

41.6%Possession25/2542.8%

3.44 corners/matchCorners25/255 corners/match

1.84 cards/matchCards25/251.84 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches

0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.15 goals/match

1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.69 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.92 shots/matchShots13/139.85 shots/match

2.92 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.46 shots/match

43%Possession13/1342.2%

3.23 corners/matchCorners13/134.38 corners/match

1.46 cards/matchCards13/131.85 cards/match

9.62 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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