PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth and Aston Villa drew 1–1.

Shots
207
Shots on target
94
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth and Aston Villa drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Aston Villa): shots 20–7, shots on target 9–4, possession 53%–47%, corners 11–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsBournemouth 20 shots, Aston Villa 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsBournemouth 9 shots, Aston Villa 4 shots
  • Possession53%47%Bournemouth 53%, Aston Villa 47%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersBournemouth 11 corners, Aston Villa 4 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls11 foulsBournemouth 4 fouls, Aston Villa 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardBournemouth 1 card, Aston Villa 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bournemouth
2Draws
3Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Bournemouth · Premier League4–0
Bournemouth — Aston Villa · Premier League0–1
Aston Villa — Bournemouth · Premier League1–1
Aston Villa — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1
Bournemouth — Aston Villa · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 4 of 9 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth25 matchesAston Villa25 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.44 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.08 goals/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.4 shots/match
4.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.48 shots/match
49.2%Possession25/25● 53.4%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners25/255.28 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards25/251.52 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls25/259.84 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthAston Villa
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headBournemouth — Aston Villa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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