PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Tue, 10 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest HamManchester United
Shots7 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession35%65%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match4 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham, Manchester United. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

West Ham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham, Manchester United.

3.22 days▲Rest daysWest Ham · Manchester United3.32 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest HamManchester UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.22 days3.32 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham · Manchester United16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest HamManchester UnitedBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match16 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham
1Draws
0Manchester United
Manchester United — West Ham · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Manchester United in 10 · 4 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.81 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.42 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲16 shots/match
14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲10.9 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲5.69 shots/match
5.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲3.62 shots/match
42.5%Possessionseason · 26/2653.2%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/264.46 corners/match
6.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲4.88 corners/match
1.81 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲1.38 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/269.35 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲15%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/26▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham7.5
Manchester United67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham24.2
Manchester United93.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham9.2
Manchester United70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham42.5
Manchester United97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham52.5
Manchester United5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham57.5
Manchester United32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham41.2
Manchester United57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
39%Possession5/549.6%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.1 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.7 shots/match
42.6%Possession10/1051.4%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.1 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/108.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.81 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲1.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots26/26▲16 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲5.69 shots/match
42.5%Possession26/2653.2%
5 corners/matchCorners26/264.46 corners/match
1.81 cards/matchCards26/261.38 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls26/269.35 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.69 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.69 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots13/13▲14.7 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.92 shots/match
42.7%Possession13/1354.2%
5.62 corners/matchCorners13/134.38 corners/match
1.77 cards/matchCards13/131.15 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls13/138.31 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.32 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Feb 2026, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest HamManchester United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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