PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Wed, 11 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSunderlandLiverpool
Shots11 shots/match23 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession43%57%
Corners3 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool. A second useful context is: Liverpool's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool.

4.22 days▲Rest daysSunderland · Liverpool3.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSunderlandLiverpoolBaseline
Rest days4.22 days3.16 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.69 shots/match▲ShotsSunderland · Liverpool15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSunderlandLiverpoolBaseline
Shots9.69 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sunderland
1Draws
0Liverpool
Liverpool — Sunderland · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 8 · 5 too close

1.04 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.58 goals/match
1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.35 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.69 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲15.8 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲10.8 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲4.35 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲3.65 shots/match
44%Possessionseason · 26/2660.7%
3.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/265.81 corners/match
4.96 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲4.46 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲1.62 cards/match
9.96 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/269.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2631%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/26▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland22.5
Liverpool97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland12.5
Liverpool76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland37.5
Liverpool75.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland17.5
Liverpool67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland46.2
Liverpool21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland7.5
Liverpool87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland15
Liverpool64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots5/5▲20.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
49.6%Possession5/559.6%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/58.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲16 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
46.6%Possession10/1060.8%
3.1 corners/matchCorners10/107.1 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/107.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.58 goals/match
1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.35 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.69 shots/matchShots26/26▲15.8 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲4.35 shots/match
44%Possession26/2660.7%
3.38 corners/matchCorners26/265.81 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards26/261.62 cards/match
9.96 fouls/matchFouls26/269.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.62 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.54 goals/match
0.77 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots13/13▲13.6 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target13/133.46 shots/match
43.5%Possession13/1360.7%
3.38 corners/matchCorners13/135.77 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
9.92 fouls/matchFouls13/139.62 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Feb 2026, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSunderlandLiverpool
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match