Liverpool
Premier League · 2025Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City · Premier League
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Manchester City won 1–2.
- Shots
- 15–17
- Shots on target
- 4–7
- Possession
- 47%–53%
Full time
What the match recorded
Manchester City beat Liverpool 2–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Manchester City): shots 15–17, shots on target 4–7, possession 47%–53%, corners 5–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Manchester City's recent record differs from the season
moderateManchester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 goals/match | 2.04 goals/match | 1.4 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Liverpool have a visible home split
moderateLiverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 17.9 shots/match | 15.5 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Liverpool | Manchester City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.6 corners/match | 5.48 corners/match | 4.96 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Liverpool favored in 1 of 9 directional metrics · Manchester City in 7 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Liverpool / Manchester City
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
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