PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Elland Road

Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Leeds United won 3–1.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
56
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Leeds beat Nottingham Forest 3–1. Recorded in this match (Leeds – Nottingham Forest): shots 14–16, shots on target 5–6, possession 56%–44%, corners 5–10. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nottingham Forest's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nottingham Forest's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsLeeds United 14 shots, Nottingham Forest 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsLeeds United 5 shots, Nottingham Forest 6 shots
  • Possession56%44%Leeds United 56%, Nottingham Forest 44%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersLeeds United 5 corners, Nottingham Forest 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsLeeds United 9 fouls, Nottingham Forest 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardLeeds United 1 card, Nottingham Forest 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Leeds United
0Draws
2Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Leeds United · Premier League3–1
Leeds United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League2–1
Nottingham Forest — Leeds United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leeds United favored in 5 of 9 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leeds United25 matchesNottingham Forest25 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251 goal/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.52 goals/match
12.5 shots/matchShots25/2511.9 shots/match
4.04 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.76 shots/match
46.1%Possession25/25● 47.9%
4.56 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.52 corners/match
1.48 cards/matchCards25/251.52 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsLeeds UnitedNottingham Forest
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headLeeds United — Nottingham Forest
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required