PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Tue, 30 Dec 2025, 20:15 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Wolves

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedWolves
Shots15 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolves. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.58 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolves.

4.01 days▲Rest daysManchester United · Wolves3.22 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricManchester UnitedWolvesBaseline
Rest days4.01 days3.22 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Wolves8.79 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedWolvesBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match8.79 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Manchester United
0Draws
0Wolves
Wolves — Manchester United · Premier League1–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 0 · 4 too close

1.74 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/190.58 goals/match
1.53 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/192.11 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/198.79 shots/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1913.7 shots/match
5.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/192.89 shots/match
3.95 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/194.89 shots/match
53.4%Possessionseason · 19/1945%
4.74 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/192.89 corners/match
4.84 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/196.42 corners/match
1.53 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/192.21 cards/match
9.58 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1914.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
11%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/190%
84%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1947%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United77.5
Wolves30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United94.2
Wolves2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United54.2
Wolves11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United97.5
Wolves7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United12.5
Wolves87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United32.5
Wolves2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United58.8
Wolves26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.4 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
53.2%Possession5/537.6%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.4 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.1 shots/match▲Shots10/107 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.2 shots/match
56.1%Possession10/1040.7%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/102.1 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1015 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.74 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.58 goals/match
1.53 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/192.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shots19/198.79 shots/match
5.63 shots/match▲Shots on target19/192.89 shots/match
53.4%Possession19/1945%
4.74 corners/matchCorners19/192.89 corners/match
1.53 cards/matchCards19/192.21 cards/match
9.58 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.4 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.9 shots/match▲Shots10/107.9 shots/match
6.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.6 shots/match
53.9%Possession10/1042.1%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.1 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.22 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 31 Dec 2025, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester UnitedWolves
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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