PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

Wolves

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLiverpoolWolves
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession67%33%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Wolves's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Wolves8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolWolvesBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match8.67 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wolves's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.8 shots/match8.67 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.2%▲PossessionLiverpool · Wolves45.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolWolvesBaseline
Possession61.2%45.1%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 0 · 4 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/180.56 goals/match
1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/182.17 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/188.67 shots/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1813.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/182.83 shots/match
3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/184.83 shots/match
61.2%Possessionseason · 18/1845.1%
5.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/182.83 corners/match
4.72 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/186.33 corners/match
1.83 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 18/182.22 cards/match
9.72 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1814.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/180%
89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1844%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool97.5
Wolves32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool78.3
Wolves2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool60
Wolves10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool67.5
Wolves7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool32.5
Wolves87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool52.5
Wolves2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool55
Wolves26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/56.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match
60.8%Possession5/538.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
7.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots10/107.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.5 shots/match
60.5%Possession10/1042%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/102.1 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1015 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 18 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.56 goals/match
1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/182.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.1 shots/match▲Shots18/188.67 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target18/182.83 shots/match
61.2%Possession18/1845.1%
5.11 corners/matchCorners18/182.83 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards18/182.22 cards/match
9.72 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.33 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.7 shots/match▲Shots9/97.56 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.44 shots/match
60.8%Possession9/941.9%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/93 corners/match
1.22 cards/matchCards9/92.89 cards/match
8.89 fouls/matchFouls9/914.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLiverpoolWolves
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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