PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Leeds

LWDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSunderlandLeeds
Shots8 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession43%57%
Corners3 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Leeds's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Leeds's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leeds's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leeds have a visible away split

moderate

Leeds's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Leeds show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leeds's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsSunderland · Leeds13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSunderlandLeedsBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Leeds in 8 · 4 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/18▲1.39 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.78 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/18▲13.3 shots/match
14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/18▲11.2 shots/match
3.06 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/18▲4.17 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/18▲4.06 shots/match
42.4%Possessionseason · 18/1846.9%
3.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/184.5 corners/match
4.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲3.39 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCardsseason · 18/18▲1.5 cards/match
9.94 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1810.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1811%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲72%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland12.5
Leeds37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland17.5
Leeds53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland40.8
Leeds48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland22.5
Leeds92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland53.8
Leeds31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland7.5
Leeds27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland17.5
Leeds48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
40.2%Possession5/545.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.5 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
41.5%Possession10/1045.8%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.39 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShots18/18▲13.3 shots/match
3.06 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.17 shots/match
42.4%Possession18/1846.9%
3.56 corners/matchCorners18/184.5 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards18/181.5 cards/match
9.94 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.22 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots9/9▲10.8 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲3.44 shots/match
43.3%Possession9/948.1%
3.78 corners/matchCorners9/93.78 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/91 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.75 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSunderlandLeeds
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match