PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeSelhurst ParkFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceTottenham
Shots15 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession62%38%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match5 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace have a visible home split

moderate

Crystal Palace's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tottenham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Tottenham9.78 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceTottenhamBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.78 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham in 2 · 5 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/18▲1.5 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.28 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/189.78 shots/match
11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1811.8 shots/match
4.06 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/183.33 shots/match
3.78 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/184.17 shots/match
43.4%Possessionseason · 18/1851.2%
3.72 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/185.44 corners/match
5.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/185.28 corners/match
1.83 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 18/182.78 cards/match
9.94 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1811 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1833%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace20
Tottenham52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace40.8
Tottenham33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace76.7
Tottenham51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace87.5
Tottenham2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace43.8
Tottenham82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace12.5
Tottenham72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace35
Tottenham45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/545%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/53.6 cards/match
8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/match▲Shots10/108.9 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.1 shots/match
44.1%Possession10/1048%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/103.3 cards/match
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 18 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.5 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.28 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots18/189.78 shots/match
4.06 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.33 shots/match
43.4%Possession18/1851.2%
3.72 corners/matchCorners18/185.44 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards18/182.78 cards/match
9.94 fouls/matchFouls18/1811 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.78 goals/match
1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots9/98.67 shots/match
4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.22 shots/match
44.6%Possession9/948.4%
3.67 corners/matchCorners9/95.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match
9.56 fouls/matchFouls9/910.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCrystal PalaceTottenham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match