Premier League · 2025Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeBrentford Community StadiumFull-time recap

Brentford

LLDWW

0–0Full-time recap

Tottenham

DWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Tottenham
Shots	7 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Possession	56%	44%
Corners	3 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.42 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Brentford

0Draws

1Tottenham

6 Dec 2025Tottenham — Brentford · Premier League2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham in 4 · 7 too close

1.47 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/191.42 goals/match

1.37 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.21 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

9.84 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/199.74 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲11.6 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/193.32 shots/match

4.16 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/194.05 shots/match

45.6%Possessionseason · 19/1950.8%

4.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/195.21 corners/match

4.89 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/195.16 corners/match

1.95 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/192.74 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1910.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲37%

74%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford32.5

Tottenham45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford43.3

Tottenham30.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford43.3

Tottenham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford12.5

Tottenham2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford67.5

Tottenham82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford42.5

Tottenham60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford47.5

Tottenham41.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

8 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/544.4%

3 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.1 shots/matchShots10/109.1 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match

50.5%Possession10/1047.8%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

1.9 cards/matchCards10/103.5 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches

1.47 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.42 goals/match

1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.21 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.84 shots/matchShots19/199.74 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.32 shots/match

45.6%Possession19/1950.8%

4.79 corners/matchCorners19/195.21 corners/match

1.95 cards/matchCards19/192.74 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.7 shots/match▲Shots10/108.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

42.9%Possession10/1048%

3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match

1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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