PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamSunderland
Shots13 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession49%51%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham, Sunderland. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham, Sunderland.

2.79 days▲Rest daysTottenham · Sunderland2.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTottenhamSunderlandBaseline
Rest days2.79 days2.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sunderland show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.9 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham · Sunderland9.55 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenhamSunderlandBaseline
Shots9.9 shots/match9.55 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match14.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Sunderland in 3 · 6 too close

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/201.05 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲0.95 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/209.55 shots/match
11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2014.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/203.1 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/204.6 shots/match
50.8%Possessionseason · 20/2042.3%
5.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/203.6 corners/match
5.15 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲4.85 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/20▲2.1 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/209.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2035%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2065%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham47.5
Sunderland7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham33.3
Sunderland12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham59.2
Sunderland40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham2.5
Sunderland27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham80
Sunderland43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham57.5
Sunderland7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham43.1
Sunderland10.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
43.6%Possession5/543.2%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/match▲Shots10/108.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.4 shots/match
47.9%Possession10/1040.5%
4 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
3.3 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored20/201.05 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲0.95 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.9 shots/matchShots20/209.55 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target20/203.1 shots/match
50.8%Possession20/2042.3%
5.1 corners/matchCorners20/203.6 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards20/202.1 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls20/209.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/match▲Shots10/108.9 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
53.5%Possession10/1042.4%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match
3.1 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamSunderland
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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