PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeSelhurst ParkFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Fulham

LLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceFulham
Shots11 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession40%60%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%▲PossessionCrystal Palace · Fulham51.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceFulhamBaseline
Possession43.3%51.5%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Crystal Palace
0Draws
0Fulham
Fulham — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 2 · 8 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.37 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.42 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1911.9 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1911.3 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/193.79 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/193.95 shots/match
43.3%Possessionseason · 19/1951.5%
3.84 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.74 corners/match
5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/195.32 corners/match
1.74 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/192.16 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
37%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1926%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace22.5
Fulham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace38.3
Fulham41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace71.7
Fulham59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace87.5
Fulham32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace36.2
Fulham72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace17.5
Fulham35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace31.9
Fulham46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
45%Possession5/555.2%
4 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/57.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.3 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.4 shots/match
44.1%Possession10/1054%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
8.9 fouls/matchFouls10/108.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.37 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots19/1911.9 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target19/193.79 shots/match
43.3%Possession19/1951.5%
3.84 corners/matchCorners19/194.74 corners/match
1.74 cards/matchCards19/192.16 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
44.1%Possession10/1049.3%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCrystal PalaceFulham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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