Premier League · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeCraven CottageFull-time recap

Fulham

LWWWD

2–2Full-time recap

Liverpool

DWWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Liverpool
Shots	8 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	2 shots/match
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	3 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	4 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, Liverpool. A second useful context is: Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, Liverpool.

2.91 days▲Rest daysFulham · Liverpool2.91 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Fulham	Liverpool	Baseline
Rest days	2.91 days	2.91 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.1%▲PossessionFulham · Liverpool61.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Fulham	Liverpool	Baseline
Possession	51.1%	61.4%	50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 6 · 8 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/20▲1.6 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/201.4 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲15.1 shots/match

11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/2010.9 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/20▲4.2 shots/match

3.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/203.7 shots/match

51.1%Possessionseason · 20/2061.4%

4.65 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/205.4 corners/match

5.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲4.55 corners/match

2.1 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/20▲1.7 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/209.45 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲30%

85%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2085%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham57.5

Liverpool97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham41.7

Liverpool71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham60.8

Liverpool68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham37.5

Liverpool57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham71.2

Liverpool22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham32.5

Liverpool67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham45.6

Liverpool55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

51%Possession5/561.4%

3 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/55.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match

51.9%Possession10/1061.2%

4.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match

2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match

8.2 fouls/matchFouls10/109.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲1.6 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShots20/20▲15.1 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲4.2 shots/match

51.1%Possession20/2061.4%

4.65 corners/matchCorners20/205.4 corners/match

2.1 cards/matchCards20/201.7 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls20/209.45 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.7 shots/matchShots10/1013.2 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.8 shots/match

52.8%Possession10/1061.3%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.91 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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