PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Mon, 15 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap
4–4Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouth
Shots25 shots/match▲14 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match9 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21.6 shots/match16.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Bournemouth13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Manchester United have a visible home split

moderate

Manchester United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match16.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 1 · 5 too close

1.88 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.56 goals/match
1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1613.1 shots/match
11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1612.3 shots/match
5.69 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/165.06 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.88 shots/match
54.3%Possessionseason · 16/1651.7%
4.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.38 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/164.31 corners/match
1.56 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 16/162.63 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲31%
81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United77.5
Bournemouth62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United95
Bournemouth70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United53.3
Bournemouth25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United97.5
Bournemouth72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United22.5
Bournemouth95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United32.5
Bournemouth65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United64.4
Bournemouth75.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21.6 shots/match▲Shots5/515.6 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/56.4 shots/match
62.2%Possession5/554%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1013 shots/match
6.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.6 shots/match
54.5%Possession10/1052.4%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.88 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.56 goals/match
1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.6 shots/match▲Shots16/1613.1 shots/match
5.69 shots/match▲Shots on target16/165.06 shots/match
54.3%Possession16/1651.7%
4.69 corners/matchCorners16/165.38 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards16/162.63 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.88 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.88 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.3 shots/match▲Shots8/812.8 shots/match
6.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/85.25 shots/match
56.3%Possession8/848.1%
4.75 corners/matchCorners8/85.5 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/83.13 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls8/813.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester UnitedBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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