PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeVitality StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Burnley

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBournemouthBurnley
Shots16 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Possession66%34%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bournemouth have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsBournemouth · Burnley8.47 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthBurnleyBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match8.47 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bournemouth have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.5%▲PossessionBournemouth · Burnley40.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthBurnleyBaseline
Possession52.5%40.5%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Burnley in 1 · 4 too close

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/171.12 goals/match
1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/172 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/178.47 shots/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1715.5 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/173.24 shots/match
4.65 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 17/175.24 shots/match
52.5%Possessionseason · 17/1740.5%
5.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/173.65 corners/match
4.24 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/176.29 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/17▲1.65 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/179.88 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1712%
76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth67.5
Burnley2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth70
Burnley12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth30.8
Burnley7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth77.5
Burnley12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth92.5
Burnley21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth67.5
Burnley12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth76.2
Burnley10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
52%Possession5/544.6%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots10/108.8 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
53.6%Possession10/1044.4%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
1.53 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/172 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots17/178.47 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.24 shots/match
52.5%Possession17/1740.5%
5.35 corners/matchCorners17/173.65 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCards17/171.65 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls17/179.88 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots9/98.89 shots/match
4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.44 shots/match
56.4%Possession9/939.9%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/94.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBournemouthBurnley
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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