PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeAmex StadiumFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrightonSunderland
Shots16 shots/match▲14 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession57%43%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Brighton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Brighton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsBrighton · Sunderland9.59 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrightonSunderlandBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.59 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.9%▲PossessionBrighton · Sunderland42.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrightonSunderlandBaseline
Possession51.9%42.4%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brighton favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sunderland in 3 · 4 too close

1.47 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/171.12 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/17▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/179.59 shots/match
12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1714.8 shots/match
4.53 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/173.06 shots/match
4.12 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 17/174.53 shots/match
51.9%Possessionseason · 17/1742.4%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/173.59 corners/match
4.41 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/174.71 corners/match
2.41 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/17▲2.18 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1710.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/17▲35%
76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1765%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton57.5
Sunderland17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton67.5
Sunderland14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton50
Sunderland40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton82.5
Sunderland32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton86.2
Sunderland47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton37.5
Sunderland7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton67.5
Sunderland13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
56%Possession5/540.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots10/109.3 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match
55.4%Possession10/1041.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
1.47 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots17/179.59 shots/match
4.53 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.06 shots/match
51.9%Possession17/1742.4%
5 corners/matchCorners17/173.59 corners/match
2.41 cards/matchCards17/172.18 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots9/98.78 shots/match
5.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.89 shots/match
51.6%Possession9/941.4%
5.11 corners/matchCorners9/93.33 corners/match
1.78 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/99.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBrightonSunderland
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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