PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Mon, 8 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeMolineux StadiumFull-time recap

Wolves

LLLLL
1–4Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWolvesManchester United
Shots8 shots/match27 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Possession37%63%
Corners1 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.53 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9 shots/match▲ShotsWolves · Manchester United16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolvesManchester UnitedBaseline
Shots9 shots/match16.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United.

5.02 days▲Rest daysWolves · Manchester United4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWolvesManchester UnitedBaseline
Rest days5.02 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Wolves favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Manchester United in 10 · 4 too close

0.53 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲1.73 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.47 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/15▲16.1 shots/match
13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/15▲10.9 shots/match
2.87 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/15▲5.47 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲3.67 shots/match
46.9%Possessionseason · 15/1554.1%
2.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/154.67 corners/match
6.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲4.53 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/15▲1.53 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/159.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲7%
40%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolves37.5
Manchester United77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolves4.2
Manchester United94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolves10.8
Manchester United67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolves7.5
Manchester United97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolves85
Manchester United12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolves2.5
Manchester United32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolves27.5
Manchester United59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
6.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.6 shots/match
1.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/559.8%
1.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲16 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6 shots/match
46.3%Possession10/1054.4%
2.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
0.53 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.73 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.47 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots15/15▲16.1 shots/match
2.87 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲5.47 shots/match
46.9%Possession15/1554.1%
2.93 corners/matchCorners15/154.67 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards15/151.53 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls15/159.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.75 goals/match
2.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.88 shots/matchShots8/8▲14 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5 shots/match
48.9%Possession8/852.3%
2.63 corners/matchCorners8/84.63 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards8/81.38 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls8/89.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWolvesManchester United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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