PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeAmex StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrightonWest Ham
Shots22 shots/match▲14 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession68%32%
Corners10 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Brighton, West Ham. A second useful context is: Brighton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Brighton, West Ham.

3.77 days▲Rest daysBrighton · West Ham2.75 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBrightonWest HamBaseline
Rest days3.77 days2.75 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Brighton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsBrighton · West Ham10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrightonWest HamBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match15.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

West Ham's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brighton favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 1 · 4 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.13 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.93 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1510.1 shots/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1515.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/153.67 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/155.33 shots/match
51.6%Possessionseason · 15/1542.5%
5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/155.6 corners/match
4.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/156.73 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/15▲1.87 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1510.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/157%
87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1567%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton57.5
West Ham17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton76.7
West Ham24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton57.5
West Ham10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton82.5
West Ham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton85
West Ham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton52.5
West Ham72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton70.6
West Ham42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
58.8%Possession5/535.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
54.4%Possession10/1039.8%
6.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.93 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.1 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.67 shots/match
51.6%Possession15/1542.5%
5.33 corners/matchCorners15/155.6 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards15/151.87 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.1 shots/match▲Shots8/810.1 shots/match
5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.5 shots/match
50.9%Possession8/841.9%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/85 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.75 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBrightonWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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