PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeCraven CottageFull-time recap

Fulham

WLWWL
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFulhamCrystal Palace
Shots12 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession63%37%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace. A second useful context is: Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace.

4.88 days▲Rest daysFulham · Crystal Palace3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFulhamCrystal PalaceBaseline
Rest days4.88 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible home split

moderate

Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 4 · 8 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/151.33 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1511.5 shots/match
10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1511 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/15▲4.27 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲3.33 shots/match
51.1%Possessionseason · 15/1542.3%
5.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/153.8 corners/match
5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/155.27 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/151.67 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1510.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲47%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1573%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham47.5
Crystal Palace12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham39.2
Crystal Palace44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham55
Crystal Palace82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham27.5
Crystal Palace92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham62.5
Crystal Palace27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham42.5
Crystal Palace17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham51.9
Crystal Palace35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/543.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
51.1%Possession10/1042.3%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.33 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShots15/1511.5 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲4.27 shots/match
51.1%Possession15/1542.3%
5.2 corners/matchCorners15/153.8 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCards15/151.67 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots8/810.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target8/84 shots/match
54.5%Possession8/841.8%
6.25 corners/matchCorners8/83.63 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards8/81.88 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls8/810.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.88 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFulhamCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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