PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeEtihad StadiumFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester CitySunderland
Shots18 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession64%36%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester City, Sunderland. A second useful context is: Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester City, Sunderland.

3.81 days▲Rest daysManchester City · Sunderland2.78 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricManchester CitySunderlandBaseline
Rest days3.81 days2.78 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.33 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsManchester City · Sunderland9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CitySunderlandBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match9.6 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.27 shots/match15.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester City favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sunderland in 0 · 4 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.2 goals/match
1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.13 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/159.6 shots/match
9.27 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1515.3 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/153 shots/match
3.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.73 shots/match
57.1%Possessionseason · 15/1542%
5.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/153.6 corners/match
4.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/154.73 corners/match
1.8 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 15/152 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/159.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1527%
87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1567%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester City82.5
Sunderland7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester City91.7
Sunderland15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester City85.8
Sunderland33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester City77.5
Sunderland27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester City22.5
Sunderland38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester City82.5
Sunderland12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester City65.6
Sunderland11.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/57.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
57%Possession5/537.8%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shots10/109.3 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
59.6%Possession10/1040.8%
7 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.2 goals/match
1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots15/159.6 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153 shots/match
57.1%Possession15/1542%
5.8 corners/matchCorners15/153.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards15/152 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls15/159.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots8/88.13 shots/match
6.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.5 shots/match
58.6%Possession8/841.3%
7.5 corners/matchCorners8/83.25 corners/match
1.38 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls8/89 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.78 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester CitySunderland
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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