PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 20:15 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLiverpoolSunderland
Shots23 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession68%32%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match5 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool.

3.26 days▲Rest daysLiverpool · Sunderland4.22 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLiverpoolSunderlandBaseline
Rest days3.26 days4.22 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Sunderland9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolSunderlandBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match9.71 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match15.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sunderland in 2 · 5 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.29 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/149.71 shots/match
11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1415.1 shots/match
4.21 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/143.14 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/144.64 shots/match
61.9%Possessionseason · 14/1442.4%
5.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/143.5 corners/match
5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.64 corners/match
1.86 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/142.07 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/149.79 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1429%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool97.5
Sunderland7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool73.3
Sunderland24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool56.7
Sunderland40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool72.5
Sunderland27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool50
Sunderland40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool47.5
Sunderland12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool62.5
Sunderland15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
60.6%Possession5/542.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.9 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
60.9%Possession10/1040.1%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.29 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.4 shots/match▲Shots14/149.71 shots/match
4.21 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.14 shots/match
61.9%Possession14/1442.4%
5.29 corners/matchCorners14/143.5 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards14/142.07 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/149.79 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.9 shots/match▲Shots7/78.14 shots/match
4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.71 shots/match
61.6%Possession7/742%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/73 corners/match
1.43 cards/matchCards7/71.86 cards/match
9.57 fouls/matchFouls7/78.86 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.26 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.22 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 4 Dec 2025, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLiverpoolSunderland
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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