PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeVitality StadiumFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Chelsea

WWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBournemouthChelsea
Shots13 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession39%61%
Corners5 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bournemouth, Chelsea. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bournemouth, Chelsea.

3.81 days▲Rest daysBournemouth · Chelsea2.78 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBournemouthChelseaBaseline
Rest days3.81 days2.78 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Chelsea in 10 · 4 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲1.67 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/15▲13.9 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/15▲10 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/15▲5.13 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲3.13 shots/match
52.3%Possessionseason · 15/1558.9%
5.47 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/155.67 corners/match
4.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲3.87 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/15▲2.27 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲47%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth62.5
Chelsea92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth65.8
Chelsea80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth39.2
Chelsea88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth67.5
Chelsea42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth95
Chelsea76.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth60
Chelsea77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth74.4
Chelsea77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/514.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match
55%Possession5/558%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/105.4 shots/match
54%Possession10/1057.3%
5 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.67 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots15/15▲13.9 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲5.13 shots/match
52.3%Possession15/1558.9%
5.47 corners/matchCorners15/155.67 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards15/152.27 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.88 goals/match
0.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/matchShots8/813.1 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target8/85 shots/match
55.3%Possession8/859.3%
5.25 corners/matchCorners8/84.25 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/82.75 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.78 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBournemouthChelsea
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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