PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeVitality StadiumFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

Everton

LDWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBournemouthEverton
Shots5 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession55%45%
Corners1 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bournemouth, Everton. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bournemouth, Everton.

3.19 days▲Rest daysBournemouth · Everton3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBournemouthEvertonBaseline
Rest days3.19 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Everton have a visible away split

moderate

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.86 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.86 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 4 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.07 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.21 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1410.6 shots/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1413.4 shots/match
4.79 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/142.93 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.29 shots/match
53.2%Possessionseason · 14/1444.1%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.29 corners/match
4.57 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/145.21 corners/match
2.79 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/14▲2.14 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1410.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲36%
79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth72.5
Everton27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth69.2
Everton17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth32.5
Everton44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth57.5
Everton37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth95
Everton50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth67.5
Everton32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth77.5
Everton25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/542.6%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010 shots/match
4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
55.7%Possession10/1044.1%
5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.21 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots14/1410.6 shots/match
4.79 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.93 shots/match
53.2%Possession14/1444.1%
5.5 corners/matchCorners14/144.29 corners/match
2.79 cards/matchCards14/142.14 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71 goals/match
0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots7/77.86 shots/match
4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72 shots/match
57.6%Possession7/739%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/72.71 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards7/72 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls7/711 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBournemouthEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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