PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Mon, 24 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

Everton

WLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedEverton
Shots25 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession70%30%
Corners9 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Everton have a visible away split

moderate

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Everton10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedEvertonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 2 · 4 too close

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1210.4 shots/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1214.1 shots/match
5.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/123 shots/match
3.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.17 shots/match
52.3%Possessionseason · 12/1243.7%
4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.83 corners/match
4.75 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/125.42 corners/match
1.42 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122.25 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1210.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲33%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1267%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United62.5
Everton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United85.8
Everton19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United55
Everton44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United97.5
Everton42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United6.2
Everton61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United32.5
Everton20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United55
Everton25.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match
50.8%Possession5/540.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
7.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
51.8%Possession10/1043.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
8.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.58 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots12/1210.4 shots/match
5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123 shots/match
52.3%Possession12/1243.7%
4.25 corners/matchCorners12/123.83 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards12/122.25 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.7 shots/match▲Shots6/67 shots/match
6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/61.83 shots/match
54.7%Possession6/638%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/62.17 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester UnitedEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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