PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 12:30 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamManchester United
Shots10 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession55%45%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United have a visible away split

moderate

Manchester United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Manchester United in 4 · 8 too close

1.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.73 goals/match
0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.64 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.73 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲14.4 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1111.5 shots/match
3.45 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲5.09 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/114.18 shots/match
53.7%Possessionseason · 11/1150.6%
6.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/113.82 corners/match
5.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲5.09 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1.36 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/118.73 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/119%
82%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1182%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham72.5
Manchester United52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham35.8
Manchester United83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham56.7
Manchester United39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham2.5
Manchester United92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham71.2
Manchester United7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham87.5
Manchester United22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham45.6
Manchester United50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
49%Possession5/546.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/57.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/1049.6%
6.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/108.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.73 goals/match
0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.73 shots/matchShots11/11▲14.4 shots/match
3.45 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5.09 shots/match
53.7%Possession11/1150.6%
6.09 corners/matchCorners11/113.82 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards11/111.36 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/118.73 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots6/6▲11.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4 shots/match
55.8%Possession6/649.8%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/61.17 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/68.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamManchester United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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