PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeElland RoadFull-time recap

Leeds

LWDLL
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeedsWest Ham
Shots13 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Leeds's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leeds's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham.

6.21 days▲Rest daysLeeds · West Ham4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLeedsWest HamBaseline
Rest days6.21 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Leeds have a visible home split

moderate

Leeds's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Leeds favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 0 · 5 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.78 goals/match
1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/92.22 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/99.44 shots/match
9.78 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/914.8 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.33 shots/match
3.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/95.11 shots/match
47.4%Possessionseason · 9/946.9%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.44 corners/match
2.89 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/97.11 corners/match
1.56 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/91.67 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/910.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leeds37.5
West Ham32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leeds47.5
West Ham17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leeds55.8
West Ham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leeds87.5
West Ham12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leeds25
West Ham40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leeds27.5
West Ham62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leeds42.5
West Ham38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52 shots/match
50.4%Possession5/548%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.22 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots9/99.44 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match
47.4%Possession9/946.9%
4 corners/matchCorners9/95.44 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/91.67 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls9/910.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.22 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots9/99.44 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match
47.4%Possession9/946.9%
4 corners/matchCorners9/95.44 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/91.67 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls9/910.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
47.2%Possession5/548.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLeedsWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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