PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest HamBrentford
Shots7 shots/match22 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession44%56%
Corners6 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Brentford's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

West Ham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brentford have a visible away split

weak

Brentford's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.88 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.88 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.63 corners/match▲CornersWest Ham · Brentford5.38 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricWest HamBrentfordBaseline
Corners5.63 corners/match5.38 corners/match4.88 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Brentford in 8 · 5 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.38 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/89.88 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲12.6 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲4 shots/match
5.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.75 shots/match
45.4%Possessionseason · 8/840.9%
5.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.38 corners/match
7.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲4.38 corners/match
1.5 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/81.88 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲25%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham27.5
Brentford7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham17.5
Brentford43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham7.5
Brentford37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham17.5
Brentford57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham37.5
Brentford66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham72.5
Brentford57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham40
Brentford53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/542.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.38 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShots8/89.88 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4 shots/match
45.4%Possession8/840.9%
5.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.38 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards8/81.88 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls8/812.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.38 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShots8/89.88 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4 shots/match
45.4%Possession8/840.9%
5.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.38 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards8/81.88 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls8/812.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲11.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.25 shots/match
44.5%Possession4/448.8%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/47.25 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/41.5 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest HamBrentford
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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