New York Red Bulls vs St.Louis City — Stats & Match Analysis

Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 30 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC

New York Red Bulls

LDLWW

vsPre-match analysis

St.Louis City

DWDWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.311.73
Expected goals: 1.541.68
Shots: 13.213.8
Possession: 52.1%52.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: st.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

St.Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3 goals/match	1.73 goals/match	1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.73 corners/match ●CornersNew York Red Bulls · St.Louis City5.58 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	New York Red Bulls	St.Louis City	Baseline
Corners	5.73 corners/match	5.58 corners/match	4.9 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New York Red Bulls favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 9 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New York Red Bulls26 matchesSt.Louis City26 matches

1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.73 goals/match

1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.38 goals/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.68 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots26/2613.8 shots/match

4.58 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.85 shots/match

52.1%Possession26/26● 52.1%

5.73 corners/match ●Corners26/265.58 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards6/82.25 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness12 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 30 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows