Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC

Columbus Crew

WDLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Inter Miami CF

DLDLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: inter Miami CF's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Inter Miami CF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter Miami CF's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.6 shots/match	15.5 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Columbus Crew

1Draws

4Inter Miami CF

2 Aug 2026Inter Miami CF — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–2

31 May 2025Inter Miami CF — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer5–1

19 Apr 2025Columbus Crew — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer0–1

2 Oct 2024Columbus Crew — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer2–3

19 Jun 2024Inter Miami CF — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Columbus Crew favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Columbus Crew21 matchesInter Miami CF22 matches

1.43 goals/matchGoals scored21/22▲ 2.55 goals/match

1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/221.86 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals18/19▲ 2.24 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 15.5 shots/match

3.9 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲ 6.23 shots/match

56.9%Possession21/22● 57.1%

5.19 corners/matchCorners21/22● 5.5 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match

9.57 fouls/matchFouls21/2212.5 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Columbus Crew91.7

Inter Miami CF95.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Columbus Crew21.7

Inter Miami CF95.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Columbus Crew65.0

Inter Miami CF37.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Columbus Crew5.0

Inter Miami CF55.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew3.4

Inter Miami CF79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 61%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew65.0

Inter Miami CF75.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Columbus Crew24.6

Inter Miami CF83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches

35.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/129 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples21 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4