Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 3–2 Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 3–2.

Shots
1620
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.510.92
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat Darmstadt 98 3–2. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Darmstadt 98): shots 16–20, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.51–0.92, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.2 fouls/matchFouls1. FC Heidenheim · Darmstadt 9813.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimDarmstadt 98Baseline
Fouls13.2 fouls/match13.7 fouls/match11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots20 shots1. FC Heidenheim 16 shots, Darmstadt 98 20 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shots1. FC Heidenheim 7 shots, Darmstadt 98 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.92 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.51 xG, Darmstadt 98 0.92 xG
  • Possession44%56%1. FC Heidenheim 44%, Darmstadt 98 56%
  • Corners8 corners3 corners1. FC Heidenheim 8 corners, Darmstadt 98 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 17 fouls, Darmstadt 98 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
1Darmstadt 98
1. FC Heidenheim — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Darmstadt 98 — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga2–2
Darmstadt 98 — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga3–2
1. FC Heidenheim — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Darmstadt 98 in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim14 matchesDarmstadt 9814 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/142.64 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.08 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots14/1412.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target14/143.71 shots/match
41.4%Possession14/14● 47.7%
6 corners/match ●Corners14/143.43 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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