PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 5–1 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 5–1.

Shots
1420
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.322.08
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat FC Bayern München 5–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – FC Bayern München): shots 14–20, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.32–2.08, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · FC Bayern München19.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match19.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match8.92 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.5%PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · FC Bayern München● 63%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession52.5%63%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots20 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 14 shots, FC Bayern München 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 6 shots, FC Bayern München 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG2.08 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.32 xG, FC Bayern München 2.08 xG
  • Possession35%65%Eintracht Frankfurt 35%, FC Bayern München 65%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 1 corner, FC Bayern München 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 8 fouls, FC Bayern München 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNiels Nkounkou · Eintracht Frankfurt · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 44′ · 0.05 xG · goalKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 12′ · 0.10 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 31′ · 0.11 xG · goalEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′ · 0.14 xG · goalEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 47′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 36′ · 0.20 xG · goalLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 16′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 60′ · 0.40 xG · goalEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.34 xG. FC Bayern München: 20 shots, 4 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 12′Eric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 31′Hugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 36′Eric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′Ansgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 60′Joshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.34 xG · FC Bayern München 2.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Eintracht Frankfurt
1Draws
2FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–6
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–1
FC Bayern München — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt14 matchesFC Bayern München13 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲ 3.38 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲ 2.98 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots14/13▲ 19.9 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲ 8 shots/match
52.5%Possession14/13● 63%
3.93 corners/matchCorners14/13● 7.54 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls14/139.77 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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