PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 3–1.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.061.09
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat Borussia M'gladbach 3–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 16–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.06–1.09, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.23 corners/matchCorners1. FC Union Berlin · Borussia M'gladbach● 6.14 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Corners5.23 corners/match6.14 corners/match4.52 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shots1. FC Union Berlin 16 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shots1. FC Union Berlin 6 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.06 xG1.09 xG1. FC Union Berlin 2.06 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 1.09 xG
  • Possession38%62%1. FC Union Berlin 38%, Borussia M'gladbach 62%
  • Corners6 corners7 corners1. FC Union Berlin 6 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 9 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′ · 0.01 xG · goalMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérôme Roussillon · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 57′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 75′ · 0.12 xG · goalKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 46′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′ · 0.20 xG · goalKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 20′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 23′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.11 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 23′Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′Mikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 75′Alassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 2.11 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

41. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
0Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–1
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin13 matchesBorussia M'gladbach14 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲ 2 goals/match
2.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/142.21 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲ 1.54 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots13/14▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 5 shots/match
43.8%Possession13/14● 48%
5.23 corners/matchCorners13/14● 6.14 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/149.29 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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