Bundesliga · 2023

Darmstadt 98 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 0–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.640.64
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat Darmstadt 98 1–0. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 13–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.64–0.64, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Darmstadt 98 have a visible home split

moderate

Darmstadt 98's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsDarmstadt 98 13 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsDarmstadt 98 4 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG0.64 xGDarmstadt 98 0.64 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.64 xG
  • Possession64%36%Darmstadt 98 64%, VfL Wolfsburg 36%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersDarmstadt 98 7 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsDarmstadt 98 16 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt 98 · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMoritz Jenz · VfL Wolfsburg · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAster Vranckx · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Ronstadt · Darmstadt 98 · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt 98 · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKlaus Gjasula · Darmstadt 98 · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt 98 · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYannick Gerhardt · VfL Wolfsburg · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFabio Torsiello · Darmstadt 98 · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmir Karić · Darmstadt 98 · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Bornauw · VfL Wolfsburg · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 63′ · 0.15 xG · goalLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 76′ · 0.17 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Darmstadt 98: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.63 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Darmstadt 98 0.63 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.64 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 9815 matchesVfL Wolfsburg15 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.27 goals/match
2.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.3 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots15/1512.6 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.8 shots/match
48.8%Possession15/15● 48.9%
3.67 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.13 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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