PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Bochum 1848 3–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 won 3–0.

Shots
229
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.850.67
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 beat 1. FC Union Berlin 3–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 22–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.85–0.67, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.7 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots9 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 22 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 7 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.85 xG0.67 xGVfL Bochum 1848 2.85 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.67 xG
  • Possession49%51%VfL Bochum 1848 49%, 1. FC Union Berlin 51%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 6 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 12 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 30′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobin Knoche · 1. FC Union Berlin · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′ · 0.14 xG · goalDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 37′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.21 xG · on targetTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 57′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.37 xG · goalMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.38 xG · on targetKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 78′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 22 shots, 7 on target, 2.90 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Takuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′Gonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′Kevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 2.90 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.66 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184815 matches1. FC Union Berlin14 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/141.07 goals/match
1.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/142.21 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/141.22 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots15/1412.1 shots/match
4.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/144.29 shots/match
46.1% ●Possession15/1444.3%
3.93 corners/matchCorners15/14● 5.14 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 18481. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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