PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC St. Pauli 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg drew 0–0.

Shots
149
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.791.09
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 14–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.79–1.09, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.73 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC St. Pauli have a visible home split

weak

FC St. Pauli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfL Wolfsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFC St. Pauli · VfL Wolfsburg11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC St. PauliVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsFC St. Pauli 14 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsFC St. Pauli 5 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.09 xGFC St. Pauli 0.79 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.09 xG
  • Possession54%46%FC St. Pauli 54%, VfL Wolfsburg 46%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersFC St. Pauli 7 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsFC St. Pauli 9 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEric Smith · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJohannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKarol Mets · FC St. Pauli · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 68′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 46′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 48′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC St. Pauli: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.80 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC St. Pauli 0.80 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 1.10 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC St. Pauli favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC St. Pauli8 matchesVfL Wolfsburg8 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.49 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.9 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4 shots/match
46.3% ●Possession8/839.6%
3.75 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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