PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 2–1 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.550.99
Possession
24%76%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat Borussia Dortmund 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Borussia Dortmund): shots 12–11, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.55–0.99, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.13 corners/matchCornersFC Augsburg · Borussia Dortmund● 6.38 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBorussia DortmundBaseline
Corners6.13 corners/match6.38 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionFC Augsburg · Borussia Dortmund● 64.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession46%64.5%46.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsFC Augsburg 12 shots, Borussia Dortmund 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsFC Augsburg 4 shots, Borussia Dortmund 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.99 xGFC Augsburg 0.55 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.99 xG
  • Possession24%76%FC Augsburg 24%, Borussia Dortmund 76%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersFC Augsburg 3 corners, Borussia Dortmund 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsFC Augsburg 13 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Kabadayi · FC Augsburg · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 25′ · 0.04 xG · goalAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 50′ · 0.04 xG · goalMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 70′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 4′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.53 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 25′Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 50′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.53 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Augsburg
2Draws
3Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga5–1
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–3
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–3
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg8 matchesBorussia Dortmund8 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
2.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.71 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots8/813.9 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.13 shots/match
46%Possession8/8● 64.5%
6.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.38 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls8/810.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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