Bundesliga · 2024

RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 3–1.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
1.841.73
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat SC Freiburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – SC Freiburg): shots 12–15, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 1.84–1.73, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig have a visible home split

weak

RB Leipzig's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · SC Freiburg15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsRB Leipzig 12 shots, SC Freiburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsRB Leipzig 9 shots, SC Freiburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG1.73 xGRB Leipzig 1.84 xG, SC Freiburg 1.73 xG
  • Possession43%57%RB Leipzig 43%, SC Freiburg 57%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersRB Leipzig 3 corners, SC Freiburg 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsRB Leipzig 9 fouls, SC Freiburg 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 51′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Günter · SC Freiburg · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Günter · SC Freiburg · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · SC Freiburg · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Muslija · SC Freiburg · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEl Chadaille Bitshiabu · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPatrick Osterhage · SC Freiburg · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Muslija · SC Freiburg · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 21′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.12 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 12′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 36′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLutsharel Geertruida · RB Leipzig · 58′ · 0.28 xG · goalWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.33 xG · goalLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 78′ · 0.42 xG · goalRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 15′ · 0.44 xG · goalJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 11′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 12 shots, 9 on target, 1.89 xG. SC Freiburg: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Willi Orbán · RB Leipzig · 47′Lutsharel Geertruida · RB Leipzig · 58′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 78′Ritsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 1.89 xG · SC Freiburg 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4RB Leipzig
1Draws
0SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–4
RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–1
SC Freiburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–1
RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–1
RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig8 matchesSC Freiburg8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match
0.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.65 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target8/84.88 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession8/850.9%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.13 corners/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls8/88.13 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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