PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 0–2 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC St. Pauli won 0–2.

Shots
127
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.750.94
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli beat TSG Hoffenheim 2–0. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – FC St. Pauli): shots 12–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.75–0.94, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC St. Pauli have a visible away split

moderate

FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

TSG Hoffenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

TSG Hoffenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · FC St. Pauli11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimFC St. PauliBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 12 shots, FC St. Pauli 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 6 shots, FC St. Pauli 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG0.94 xGTSG Hoffenheim 0.75 xG, FC St. Pauli 0.94 xG
  • Possession68%32%TSG Hoffenheim 68%, FC St. Pauli 32%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 7 corners, FC St. Pauli 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls, FC St. Pauli 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexander Prass · TSG Hoffenheim · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLars Ritzka · FC St. Pauli · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 54′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 20′ · 0.09 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 55′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 22′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAndreas Albers · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.78 xG. FC St. Pauli: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 20′Andreas Albers · FC St. Pauli · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 0.78 xG · FC St. Pauli 0.91 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim9 matchesFC St. Pauli9 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.91 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots9/911.9 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession9/944.7%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners9/93.56 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls9/910.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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