PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 14:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVfL WolfsburgFC Augsburg
Shots18 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1.24 xG/match▲0.43 xG/match
Possession70%●30%
Corners8 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Konstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 82′ · 0.05 xG · goalMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 31′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 72′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 34′ · 0.34 xG · goalTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 60′ · 0.58 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.26 xG. FC Augsburg: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 82′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 1.26 xG · FC Augsburg 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Augsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: FC Augsburg's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

FC Augsburg have a visible away split

weak

FC Augsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0VfL Wolfsburg
2Draws
3FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–3
FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–2
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–2
FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

VfL Wolfsburg favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 3 · 3 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.44 goals/match
1.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/92.22 goals/match
1.46 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/91.21 xG/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.42 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲13.2 shots/match
14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲12.7 shots/match
4.22 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.89 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/95.11 shots/match
43%Possessionseason · 9/9●44.2%
4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/9●5.56 corners/match
4.44 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/95.11 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/90%
89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Wolfsburg16.7
FC Augsburg33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Wolfsburg46.3
FC Augsburg36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Wolfsburg37.1
FC Augsburg39.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Wolfsburg58.3
FC Augsburg80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg75
FC Augsburg58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg41.7
FC Augsburg80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Wolfsburg46.6
FC Augsburg52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg9 matchesFC Augsburg9 matches
1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.22 goals/match
1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.21 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲13.2 shots/match
4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.89 shots/match
43%Possession9/9●44.2%
4.44 corners/matchCorners9/9●5.56 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

VfL Wolfsburg5 matchesFC Augsburg4 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.5 goals/match
2.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/43 goals/match
1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.7 xG/match
13 shots/match▲Shots5/48.5 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/41.5 shots/match
46.4%●Possession5/444.5%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/4●4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/411 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVfL WolfsburgFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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