PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 2–4.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.812.04
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat VfL Wolfsburg 4–2. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – SV Werder Bremen): shots 14–15, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.81–2.04, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen have a visible away split

weak

SV Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.71 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SV Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.7%PossessionVfL Wolfsburg · SV Werder Bremen● 50.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession38.7%50.3%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 14 shots, SV Werder Bremen 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 6 shots, SV Werder Bremen 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG2.04 xGVfL Wolfsburg 1.81 xG, SV Werder Bremen 2.04 xG
  • Possession43%57%VfL Wolfsburg 43%, SV Werder Bremen 57%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 4 corners, SV Werder Bremen 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 15 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Konstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 79′ · 0.04 xG · goalMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYannick Gerhardt · VfL Wolfsburg · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 67′ · 0.08 xG · goalLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 81′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 53′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 40′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 13′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 55′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.17 xG · goalSebastiaan Bornauw · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 48′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedFelix Agu · SV Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.22 xG · goalDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 19′ · 0.35 xG · on targetMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.38 xG · goalMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.45 xG · on targetTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 19′ · 0.90 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.15 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 19′Joakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 79′Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′Felix Agu · SV Werder Bremen · 51′Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 67′Marco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 2.15 xG · SV Werder Bremen 2.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Wolfsburg
2Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–2
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–1
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg7 matchesSV Werder Bremen7 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.71 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 2 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.42 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.43 shots/match
38.7%Possession7/7● 50.3%
3.71 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.14 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/79.57 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required