PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Bayern München 4–0 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 4–0.

Shots
224
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
3.380.51
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat VfB Stuttgart 4–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – VfB Stuttgart): shots 22–4, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 3.38–0.51, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

weak

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · VfB Stuttgart15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against5.29 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.71 corners/match ●CornersFC Bayern München · VfB Stuttgart5.43 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Corners6.71 corners/match5.43 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots4 shotsFC Bayern München 22 shots, VfB Stuttgart 4 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotFC Bayern München 10 shots, VfB Stuttgart 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.38 xG0.51 xGFC Bayern München 3.38 xG, VfB Stuttgart 0.51 xG
  • Possession66%34%FC Bayern München 66%, VfB Stuttgart 34%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersFC Bayern München 7 corners, VfB Stuttgart 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsFC Bayern München 6 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.02 xG · goalKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFabian Rieder · VfB Stuttgart · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · FC Bayern München · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.14 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 54′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.20 xG · goalKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 76′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 4′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.33 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 80′ · 0.46 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 51′ · 0.91 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 22 shots, 10 on target, 3.37 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 57′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 60′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 80′Kingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.37 xG · VfB Stuttgart 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Bayern München
2Draws
1VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–1
FC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–0
VfB Stuttgart — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2
FC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2
FC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München7 matchesVfB Stuttgart7 matches
3.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/72.14 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.14 goals/match
2.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/72.03 xG/match
19.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/715.4 shots/match
8 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/75.86 shots/match
69.6% ●Possession7/758.7%
6.71 corners/match ●Corners7/75.43 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/79.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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