PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia M'gladbach 3–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 3–2.

Shots
2019
Shots on target
106
Expected goals
3.612.09
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach beat 1. FC Heidenheim 3–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 20–19, shots on target 10–6, expected goals 3.61–2.09, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach have recorded the higher season possession share.

58% ●PossessionBorussia M'gladbach · 1. FC Heidenheim40.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbach1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession58%40.7%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsBorussia M'gladbach · 1. FC Heidenheim12.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbach1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Fouls12.6 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match10.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots19 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 20 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 19 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots6 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 10 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.61 xG2.09 xGBorussia M'gladbach 3.61 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 2.09 xG
  • Possession66%34%Borussia M'gladbach 66%, 1. FC Heidenheim 34%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 6 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 15 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′ · 0.04 xG · goalFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 22′ · 0.05 xG · goalSirlord Conteh · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarvin Friedrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.11 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 2′ · 0.15 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 51′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedSirlord Conteh · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.24 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.51 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.56 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 62′ · 0.57 xG · goalTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 75′ · 0.82 xG · goalMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 80′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 20 shots, 10 on target, 3.71 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Ko Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 22′Tim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 62′Tim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 75′Leo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 3.71 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 2.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach7 matches1. FC Heidenheim7 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.57 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.1 shots/match
6.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.57 shots/match
58% ●Possession7/740.7%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbach1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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