PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia M'gladbach drew 1–1.

Shots
239
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.680.6
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia M'gladbach drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 23–9, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.68–0.6, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05 have a visible home split

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia M'gladbach show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲Shots1. FSV Mainz 05 · Borussia M'gladbach14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FSV Mainz 05Borussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match17 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.5 fouls/matchFouls1. FSV Mainz 05 · Borussia M'gladbach13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FSV Mainz 05Borussia M'gladbachBaseline
Fouls12.5 fouls/match13 fouls/match10.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots9 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 23 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 6 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.6 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 1.68 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 0.6 xG
  • Possession52%48%1. FSV Mainz 05 52%, Borussia M'gladbach 48%
  • Corners2 corners4 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 2 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 16 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FSV Mainz 05
3Draws
0Borussia M'gladbach
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–2
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–0
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga0–1
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 058 matchesBorussia M'gladbach8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.69 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 6 shots/match
46.9%Possession8/8● 56.8%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners8/84.25 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/813 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Oct 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FSV Mainz 05Borussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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